Hard up for some cash? Well, I’d never be one to encourage the vice of gambling as a means of relieving poverty. However, if anybody were to ever get rich from betting on MMA, it would be on the upcoming Strikeforce: Fedor vs. Werdum card.
The Betting Line for June 26th (odds courtesy Bloody Elbow):
- Fedor Emelianenko -1000 vs. Fabricio Werdum +500
- Cristiane Santos -2500 vs. Jan Finney +1000
- Cung Le -400 vs. Scott Smith +275
- Kj Noons -500 vs. Charles Bennett +360
Boy, where do I start?
Everyone knows my doubts concerning Fedor Emelianenko. While I doubt Febricio Werdum has the tools to overcome a much more dangerous and smarter fighter in Fedor, those are hard odds to pass up.
Cristiane Santos at -2,500 is insane. The Jan Finney match is perplexing considering her less than stellar fight record, but with Women’s MMA being in its infancy, there’s no such thing as a surefire favorite, not even Cyborg.
I’m not even sure why Cung Le is the favorite in his rematch with Scott Smith. Did Scott Smith seemingly come out of nowhere with his knockout of Le a few months back? Absolutely. However, it was no fluke. Smith has made a career out of being able to take a beating and patiently waiting for his spot to open up. Meanwhile, Le has made a career of looking great against scrubs but not even being able to put away (or even willing to face) middle of the road talent. Of all the underdogs listed here, I’d recommend Smith strongest. Previously: “Strikefarce: Cung Le & the Issue of Legitimacy“
KJ Noons and Charles Bennett is a toss-up. Noons is yet another golden boy who’s never delivered on the hype surrounding him, and Bennett is right out of his mind. However, he also has the tools to put Noons away and potentially embarrass him. Again.
One has to wonder what odds-makers were thinking, if anything, when they put together these odds. Are they victims of the undeserved hype behind these fighters – as so many MMA fans seem to be – or are they just ignorant of the sport?
UPDATE: My buddy Sean F., who is educated on such things, informs me that this is basically the Oddsmakers’ attempt to bring in even money on the two participants of Fedor/Werdum and Santos/Finney, in that the ridiculous starting line is the only way to bring money into the underdogs. Theoretically, it’ll even out. If it doesn’t, then ka-CHING! (Thanks for the education, Sean, you sinner.)